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Russia’s intervention in Syria seems (so far) to be a very positive historical development. Seems to be , yet I cannot quite say ‘is’.
My sense of caution doesn’t derive from any hostility to Russia’s policy (which I generally support), but rather from my suspicions over the world response to it. While I personally love to see Russian bombs bursting in Islamist neighbourhoods, I am aware that members of our political elite are altogether more troubled by it. I am also aware of the reason for their unease.
Though it is the catchphrase of many lunatic characters, there really is something called the ‘New World Order’ – and in that ‘order’, things like this are never supposed to occur.
The NWO (the real one) is simply another name for the post-Soviet order, itself a slightly updated design of the post-WII order, with which it still bears many similarities. Conservative journalist Peter Hitchens (younger brother of Christopher) summed it up by rehearsing the following famous attitude – ‘Keep the Americans in, the Germans down, and the Russians out.’
Put in greater detail, the order was designed to keep America as the worlds only accepted military superpower. Expeditionary exercises by states unallied to Washington were to become the stuff of history. There were to be no more Stalins, Hitlers and Nassers; no more upstart challenges to the US military’s global predominance in the air, on land or at sea. This is why Milosevic and Hussein were so quickly disposed of, why Germany and Japan’s economic growth was once so unnerving, and why Putin’s Russia is now regarded as so threatening.
In the NWO, only Washington’s opinion on world affairs matters (the UK being little more than a button on America’s shirt). Most Europeans (myself included) are fine with this. Though it tends to make world affairs rather lopsided, American hegemony plays a very positive and important role in maintaining peace. If American might was suddenly subtracted from the globe, vicious, large-scale wars would begin almost immediately. China would begin bombing Taiwan (and possibly Japan). Iran and the stronger Arab states would start threatening the Israelis. Pakistan and India would recommence their nuclear stand-off over Kashmir. The Serbs (backed by Russia) would retake Kosovo and attack Albania. The Turks would move ruthlessly against the Kurds. Sudan (backed and armed by China) would retake South Sudan and begin a campaign of ethnic cleansing. Long-simmering tensions between Venezuela and Colombia would be brought to the surface. Russia would follow through on its threats to invade the Baltic and move its forces close enough to menace Poland and other Slavic EU states. Etc…
America has thus given the world a very long and very prosperous period of calm. We should be thankful for it. But now, Obama’s astonishing weakness on foreign affairs is now threatening to undo it all. Who can accurately say how far this will unravel and with what historic effect?
As anyone could have foreseen, America has loudly condemned Russia’s activities in Syria. Only today, Obama rather idiotically claimed that the airstrikes will end up ‘strengthening ISIS’ (by weakening those charming US-backed Islamists in the Al-Nusra Front, for example).
And in Britain, the reliable, chew toy-seeking David Cameron has since barked his agreement with the Washington line, followed swiftly by the human-shaped cardboard art-exhibit known as Francois Hollande. The media has been similarly obedient. As Russia Today drily noted “No sooner had Russian planes taken off to bomb ISIS terrorists.., claims made by the West’s anti-Russia lobby (were) repeated in much of the western mainstream media… (alleging that) Russia wasn‘t really targeting ISIS but “moderate rebels” and its strikes killed scores of innocent civilians… Now there’s two possible explanations for the lightning fast way this new chapter in the “information war” against Russia has been launched… The first is that the anti-Russian lobby have fantastic sources in Syria and know exactly who has been killed in air strikes moments after the bombs are dropped, or, in some cases possess clairvoyant powers and know who the victims will be even before the bombs fall…The second explanation is that the accusations and allegations that we’ve seen were already written up – filed and saved – and ready to be posted online as soon as Russia’s parliament authorized the use of military force.”
Western government and Western media are thus united in hostility towards the Kremlin. This might not end well.
I don’t believe our leaders are ready to intervene in Syria (that is, against Russia) – or not just yet. We nevertheless have to be prepared for such an occurrence. With Russia fighting proxy wars against American security assets, it isn’t Bond-novel fiction anymore.
And just what would happen if the West did intervene on behalf of its preferred barbarians? World War III? Quite possibly, yes.
D, LDN
Defend the Modern World 
Is it maybe that there just aren’t enough rational people in Syria to mount an effective opposition to either Assad or the IS. If that’s the case then maybe Assad could be the least worst option? As long as Russia sticks to Syria and the West sticks to Iraq then we might be able to sort the mess out between us instead of it turning into another stand-off with Russia. I still think Iraq is now broken and cannot be put together again. Peace will only come when it is divided into separate states. The Sunnis and Shias there just cannot get along.
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“Is it maybe that there just aren’t enough rational people in Syria to mount an effective opposition to either Assad or the IS. If that’s the case then maybe Assad could be the least worst option?” – I believe that’s correct.
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To put it in another perspective, what’s happening in Syria and Iraq are things that are directly at Russia’s back door. Historically, Russia has engaged, fought and made peace with the Ottomans and other hordes, many times becoming a horde itself. By straddling Asia and Europe, they have a keen interest in the region, even if it’s not oil. There are only bad actors in this conflict and as it rages, the burgeoning “refugee” crisis will just get worse. If Russian can bring some stability – it may be a pyrrhic victory but in the long term quash violent islamism. No guarantees, however.
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Absolutely. Russia is extremely vulnerable to Islam, more-so than Europe and far more so than America. They have good reason to police their near-abroad (with the exception of Eastern Europe, which is no real threat to them).
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Hitchens is something of a renegade on the right. Most conservatives fear Putin while approving of some of his policies. I belong to that camp. I am worried that Putin will clash with NATO. That would be catastrophic.
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I’m more worried that the NATO will clash with Russia in DEFENCE of Turkey and Saudi Arabia. Imagine a war between EU and Russia, essentially in the defense of Erdogan and the Saudi Royal family. DTMW, would fight such a war if conscripted? Would you fight your own Western and Slavic brothers in defense of the Saudis? For that is what is happening in the world today.
Two of the greatest Western powers: US and UK, behaving like puppet regimes and using their armed forces like mercenaries in advancing the policies of the Saudis. Why? Why? Are western politicians that corrupt and that cynical?
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/oct/08/britain-guilty-silence-yemen-saudi-arabia
What quarrel does the UK and US have in Yemen. Why are they in this war? By helping to defeat the Shia Houthis, the Western powers are strengthening the Sunni radicals including AlQaeda and ISIS. Why are the Western elite so slave-like to the Saudi Royals?
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In the interests of full disclosure I am a non European Muslim.
@ Athena, October 12, 2015 at 7:38 am
NATO does not really care for the Turkish people, NATO just wants to control the entry/exit point into the Mediterrean from the Black Sea. This is to ensure Russia does not have free access, to maintain naval supremacy.
NATO also does not really care about the peope of Arabia. NATO only wants to utilise the poisonous Saudi Wahabi ideology to spread corruption in the World of Islam.
Ultimately NATO is Israel’s bitch. She protects Israel and her allies and destroys Israel’s enemies. NATO would not be fighting in defence of Erdogan or any Saudi Royal but for Israel’s strategic advantage.
NATO is supporting ISIS and “moderate” rebels because it is in Israel’s strategic interest to do this at the moment. It is just a shame that the generals in NATO do not know that they are being conned.
Yes Western politicians are VERY corrupt and yes they DO NOT care for their own folks.
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@T
It’s in Israel’s best interest to have a generally secular and peaceful neighborhood.
The more Islamist her neighboring countries become, the less peace and security Israel has. How would it help Israel to depose a secular dictator Assad (The Assad family had kept Israel’s border with Syria peaceful for the past 4 decades) and replace it by an actively Jew- hating Islamist government?
Either your theory of Israel is behind ISIS & ‘moderate’ rebels is untrue and a conspiracy theory or (if it’s true) Israel’s leadership is stupid.
Personally, I think that Israel is too much fixated on Iran as a threat and fails to see that her real existential threat comes from radical Sunnis financed by Saudi Arabia and not from Shias.
As for NATO, I think that it’s a Cold War anachronistic organization with a Cold War mentality of “(Soviet) Russia is evil.” The Soviet Union is no more and NATO should be disbanded and Turkey should be chucked-out of any Western or European security alliance. Turkey is (unfortunately) no longer secular and hence cannot be trusted with European security. Also, recent events have shown that Saudi Arabia & Turkey have been actively and passively aiding ISIS and the ‘moderate’ Islamist rebels.
The real threat to Europe, West and indeed the World is radical Islamism, financed and supported by a cynical and devious Saudi government.
Russia in no longer the enemy and I wish for the Western leadership to understand this. They should end this ‘enemy’ mentality with Russia and definitely end this stupid and dangerous alliance with Wahabbi Saudi Arabia and a rapidly Islamizing Turkey.
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@ Athena said: October 14, 2015 at 6:58 pm
What you wish for is completely unrealistic! Western leaders hate Christian Russia as she is returning to her Chrisitian roots! Your leaders are anti-Christian.
Israel wishes to expand her borders to the Biblical ones. She cannot do this if she has stable and peaceful neighbors. What she needs are unstable, violent neighbors where her friends in CNN, Al Jazeera, BBC, Le Monde et al can the convince the world that Israel needs to pre-emptively strike to save herself and the rest of Mankind from Islam.
However the Russian intervention has now sent Israel back to the drawing board…it seems nuclear war is on the horizon.
Israel wants to becoming the ruling state! Don’t you get it?
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