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So, it’s election week… Are you excited? Do you know who you’re going to vote for yet? Do you think this election will make a difference?
My answers are as follows – 1) The election is thrilling, perhaps the most thrilling in my lifetime. 2) I’m not physically able to vote physically this time around. Had I been, I would vote for UKIP or LibertyGB (the latter if they are standing, the former if not). 3) Absolutely.
Nobody, not even the most seasoned political commentator, dares to predict who will be running the country this time next week. Despite the avalanche of newsprint, debate, advertising and scandal, the vote remains stubbornly too close to call.
As far as I can see, the UK faces one of 4 possible destinies. Let’s briefly look at each one:
1. Labour Victory.
This would be a disaster; a further half-decade of socialist rule would corrode social and race relations to (or beyond) breaking point. Immigration would remain at the current level, and possibly even get worse. Fear of Islam will apparently be legislated against, eroding our right to resist it. The tentacles of the government will squeeze through more legal gaps, blocking out light and lurching deeper into our intimate affairs. Taxes will rise. Green superstition will rule the laboratories. The army will grow ever more ornamental.
2. Conservative Victory.
Better than a Labour victory, but still a postponement of real solutions to the issues facing this country. More austerity, more economic growth, further cuts to the military and police. A jumble of good and bad.
3. Ukip Victory.
Potentially revolutionary, yet also highly unlikely, a UKIP government would transform UK society in many positive ways. Immigration would finally be addressed with the seriousness it requires. The army would be brought back from the dead. Hate preachers would be shown to the nearest airport (though – crucially – their congregation would remain).
This seems by far the most likely situation, and also the most chaotic. A UKIP-Tory coalition would never last beyond a few months. An SNP-Labour coalition would never be accepted by the English public. A Libdem-Tory coalition might work but only with awkwardness. A Lib-Labour coalition would be stable but hugely unpopular.
I think this election will be the last ‘mainstream’ contest for quite some time. By that I mean it will be the last in which the traditional parties dominate the polls. In that sense, it is just a rehearsal for 2020.
I strongly believe conservative radicalism will continue to grow whatever the result is on Thursday. This may clear away the obstacles for a truly restorative party to achieve a parliamentary majority in the third decade of this millennium.